ទោះបីជាទីផ្សារមាសបានងើបឡើងវិញពីការធ្លាក់ចុះយ៉ាងខ្លាំងកាលពីសប្តាហ៍មុនក៏ដោយក៏អ្នកវិភាគបានព្រមានថាសកម្មភាពតម្លៃកំពុងមានភាពច្របូកច្របល់ ដែលមាសបានកើនឡើងមកវិញនៅក្នុងសប្តាហ៍នេះក្នុងកម្រិតតម្លៃ 3500$ ក្នុងមួយតម្លឹង។ ទោះជាយ៉ាងណាក៏ដោយ អ្នកវិភាគមួយចំនួនបាននិយាយថា កាតាលីករថ្មីគឺចាំបាច់ដើម្បីជំរុញឱ្យតម្លៃលើសពី3600$ក្នុងមួយតម្លឹង។ ភាពមិនប្រាកដប្រជាជាសកលដែលបង្កើតឡើងដោយលោកប្រធានាធិបតី Donald Trump លើគោលនយោបាយពន្ធអាចនឹងបង្ករឲ្យមានសង្រ្គាមពាណិជ្ជកម្មសកលកើតមានឡើងដែលកំពុងតែគាំទ្រទៅលើតម្លៃហាងឆេងមាសហើយយ៉ាងណាមិញ អ្នកវិភាគមួយចំនួនបានលើកឡើងថា ភាពចលាចលមួយចំនួននេះឥឡូវត្រូវបានគេវាយតម្លៃចូលទីផ្សារ។ ទន្ទឹមនឹងនេះ អ្នកវិភាគមួយចំនួនកំពុងរង់ចាំមើលថាតើគម្រោងថ្មីរបស់សហភាពអ៊ឺរ៉ុបថ្មីនឹងប៉ះពាល់ដល់មាសយ៉ាងដូចម្តេច។ កាលពីដើមសប្តាហ៍នេះ សហភាពអឺរ៉ុបបានប្រកាសផ្តល់មូលនិធិចំនួន 1ពាន់ពាន់លានអ៊ឺរ៉ូដើម្បីបង្កើនការចំណាយយោធារបស់ពួកគេ។ អាល្លឺម៉ង់ក៏កំពុងសម្លឹងរកការចំណាយប្រាក់បន្ថែមទៀតលើវិស័យយោធា និងហេដ្ឋារចនាសម្ព័ន្ធរបស់ខ្លួន។ លោក Ole Hansen ប្រធានផ្នែកយុទ្ធសាស្រ្តទំនិញនៅ Saxo Bank បាននិយាយថាហានិភ័យនៃការពង្រីកសារពើពន្ធនៅអឺរ៉ុបអាចបង្វែរលំហូរនៃការវិនិយោគ ប៉ុន្តែខ្ញុំមិនឃើញហេតុផលដែលតម្លៃមិនអាចឡើងខ្ពស់ជាងនេះបានទេ។ កត្តាគាំទ្រជាច្រើនត្រូវបានកំណត់តម្លៃមាសបន្ថែមទៀតដូច្នេះឥឡូវនេះយើងត្រូវរង់ចាំឥទ្ធិពលសេដ្ឋកិច្ចនៃការអភិវឌ្ឍ និងសកម្មភាពបច្ចុប្បន្ន។ ការផ្តោតអារម្មណ៍ជាថ្មីលើអឺរ៉ុបបានជំរុញលំហូរថ្មីចូលទៅក្នុងប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូ ដែលបានរុញសន្ទស្សន៍ប្រាក់ដុល្លារអាមេរិកដល់ចំណុចទាបបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីលោក Trump បានឈ្នះការបោះឆ្នោតប្រធានាធិបតី។ ប្រាក់ដុល្លារអាមេរិកដែលមានទម្ងន់ធ្ងន់ក្នុងការពេញចិត្តនៃប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូបានធ្លាក់ចុះ 2.5% នៅសប្តាហ៍នេះ។ នេះគឺជាការធ្លាក់ចុះប្រចាំសប្តាហ៍ដ៏ធំបំផុតចាប់តាំងពីដើមខែកក្កដា ឆ្នាំ 2022។
ដោយសារតែការកើនឡើងនៃការចំណាយ មាសធៀបនឹងប្រាក់អឺរ៉ូគឺជាពាណិជ្ជកម្មរយៈពេលមធ្យមដ៏គួរឱ្យទាក់ទាញ។
Can the price of gold rise to break the $3600 per tael level?
Although the gold market recovered from last week’s sharp selloff, analysts warn that the price action is looking a little directionless as it holds critical near-term support, at least for now. Gold is preparing to end the week back above $2,900 an ounce with a 1.6% gain from last Friday. However, some analysts have said that a new catalyst is needed to push prices above $3,000 an ounce. Global uncertainty created by President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs and the treat of a global trade war is supporting the precious metal. However, some analysts have said that a lot of this chaos is now priced into the market.
At the same time, some analysts are waiting to see how new spending programs in Europe will impact gold. Earlier this week, the European Union announced a €1 trillion fund that nations can tap to increase their military spending. Germany is also looking to spend more money on its military and infrastructure. Gold will likely take another breather while we wait to see whether the U.S. will enter a period of stagflation, said Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank. The risk of fiscal expansion in Europe may divert investment flows, but I see no reason why prices can’t move higher. A lot of supporting factors have been priced into gold, so now we have to wait for the economic impacts of current developments and actions. Renewed focus on Europe has driven new flows into the euro, which has pushed the U.S. dollar index to its lowest point since Trump won the Presidential election. The U.S. dollar index, which is heavily weighted in favor of the euro, is down 2.5% this week. This is the greenback’s largest weekly drop since early July 2022. In the current environment, Nicky Shiels, Head of Research & Metals Strategy at MKS PAMP, said in a note that because of increased spending, gold against the euro is an attractive medium-to-long-term trade.
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